Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 282312
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
612 PM CDT THU AUG 28 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
FOR THE 0Z TAFS... SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL MOVE
EASTWARD ACROSS OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING... EVENTUALLY AFFECTING
OKLAHOMA SITES. THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EASTWARD OVERNIGHT...
AFFECTING ALL TAF SITES BY EARLY FRIDAY. CONDITIONS AT ANY SITE MAY
TEMPORARILY FALL TO MVFR NEAR ANY HEAVIER THUNDERSTORMS.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 357 PM CDT THU AUG 28 2014/

DISCUSSION...
UPPER WAVE CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER COLORADO WILL
MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE PLAINS INTO THE GREAT
LAKES REGION THIS WEEKEND. THE SOUTH END OF THIS
WAVE WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO OUR
FORECAST AREA BEGINNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES OF 1.5 - 1.8 LIKELY TO
MAKE  UPWARDS OF  ONE HALF INCH OF PRECIPITATION
ALL AREAS. HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD OF RAIN FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT. A COOL FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER
WAVE WILL NEVER QUITE MAKE INTO EASTERN OK...BUT
RATHER  STRETCH OUT  SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST FROM
SOUTHEAST KANSAS  TO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES  BY
SATURDAY.

SATURDAY NOT A WASH OUT FOR THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND
BUT NONETHELESS CHANCE POPS ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST.
SUNDAY DRY WITH SEASONAL TEMPS.

WESTERLY FLOW ON LABOR DAY WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARY
STRETCHED OUT ACROSS KANSAS PUTS NORTHERN BORDER
AREAS AT RISK FOR CHANCE SHOWERS / THUNDERSTORMS.

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AGAIN MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
GW

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...06




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