Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 160545
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1145 PM CST Sun Jan 15 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Widespread precip will continue eastward and impact terminals
through mid Monday morning. A wide range of flight conditions
continues to be in place from E OK into far NW AR with a trend
toward prevailing IFR levels through the overnight hours and into
Monday morning. Thereafter precip shifts east of the region and
ceilings begin to lift and/or erode with MVFR to VFR conditions
expected by late afternoon through Monday evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 847 PM CST Sun Jan 15 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Upper system lifting north through west central Texas this evening...
with widespread rainfall ahead of it advecting from south to north
into the forecast area. Will go ahead and up pops to max
categorical...except through 06z will leave far ern OK and nw AR
as likely. As upper system and warm front move north
tonight...expect temperatures to continue to warm overnight.
Sans a few tweaks...current hourly trace for the overnight period
looks good. Locally heavy rain can be expected...along with a
limited potential across southeast Oklahoma for a marginally
severe wind gust.

Updated ZFP/PFM/AFM out shortly.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   45  59  34  51 / 100  20   0   0
FSM   49  68  42  54 / 100  70  10   0
MLC   54  66  36  54 / 100  50   0   0
BVO   40  55  31  49 / 100  20   0   0
FYV   52  63  37  49 / 100  70  10   0
BYV   46  65  40  49 / 100  70  10   0
MKO   51  64  36  50 / 100  50   0   0
MIO   48  62  37  47 / 100  60  10   0
F10   50  61  35  52 / 100  20   0   0
HHW   55  66  40  56 / 100  50  10   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...07



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