Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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130
FXUS64 KTSA 032344
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
544 PM CST Sat Dec 3 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Area of light rain continues to drift across the region this evening
with IFR ceilings srn and ern sites and MVFR ceilings nern OK sites.
Expect another area of rain to expand across the region overnight
with ceilings and visibilities gradually decreasing areawide.
IFR/LIFR will prevail most sites through 15-18z tomorrow. Skies clear
ern OK sites late Sunday afternoon from the west. Clearing may reach
nwrn AR sites by the very end of this forecast period but chances of
maintaining MVFR ceilings through 05/00z seem more likely at this
time.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 314 PM CST Sat Dec 3 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Light rain will continue off an on through the night
and into Sunday morning as a southwesterly flow aloft
persists across the area. The rain will be shunted to
the south and east on Sunday as a northern stream shortwave
moves across the central plains.

Another round of rain is expected Sunday night into Monday night
as the upper level low current spinning over northern Mexico
moves across Texas.

A cold front will move through the region Monday night into Tuesday
with a surge of arctic air moving into the region on Wednesday. The
next chance of precipitation will be Wednesday into Wednesday night
as an upper level trof moves across the plains. The vertical temperature
profile will support wintry precipitation, mainly in the form of light
snow across portions of northeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas.

Temperatures Wednesday night and again on Thursday night will bottom out
in the teens and twenties, the coldest air of this early winter season
so far.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   40  54  36  54 /  70  20  10  30
FSM   44  52  38  49 /  60  20  20  60
MLC   42  52  39  49 /  50  20  20  60
BVO   41  53  28  52 /  70  20  10  20
FYV   39  48  29  50 /  70  20  10  50
BYV   36  47  32  47 /  70  20  10  50
MKO   42  52  35  50 /  50  20  10  50
MIO   41  51  32  52 /  70  20  10  40
F10   42  53  36  50 /  50  20  10  50
HHW   45  53  42  48 /  50  20  40  70

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...69



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