Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KTSA 252044
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
244 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...

STILL LOOKING LIKE A PRETTY QUIET FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS...
WITH ELEVATED FIRE DANGER BEING THE MAIN HAZARD STORY THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD.

NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT IS LARGELY KEEPING ANY MOISTURE WELL SOUTH OF
OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS...WITH DEW POINTS CURRENTLY HOVERING NEAR 20
DEGREES. A RETURN TO WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS LATER TONIGHT AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE PUSHES EAST WILL KEEP LOW TEMPERATURES SEVERAL
DEGREES WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT...DESPITE THE VERY LOW DEW POINTS.
WINDS WILL AGAIN QUICKLY SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW AS A DRY
COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH DURING THE DAY. ELEVATED FIRE DANGER
WILL EXIST AS WINDS PICK UP BEHIND THE FRONT...EVEN AS
TEMPERATURES COOL SOME.

THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO FLATTEN OUT TOWARD THE VERY
END OF THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...AS DEEP UPPER LEVEL
TROUGHING IN THE EASTERN UNITED STATES PUSHES INTO THE ATLANTIC.
WARMER AND MORE MOIST AIR WILL BE ALLOWED BACK INTO THE REGION AS
THIS OCCURS...WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES LIKELY BEGINNING
FRIDAY AND LASTING INTO AT LEAST A PORTION OF SUNDAY. SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAYS FOR MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONT AIDING IN THE
WARM UP. THIS SHOULD BRING ANOTHER COUPLE OF DAYS OF ELEVATED FIRE
DANGER.

THE FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH BY LATE SUNDAY...STALLING SOMEWHERE
SOUTH BUT NEAR THE AREA MONDAY. MONDAY SHOULD BE THE COOLEST DAY
OF THE PERIOD AS A RESULT. THE FRONT WILL RETURN NORTHWARD AS
UPPER TROUGHING MOVES ONSHORE TO THE WEST OF THE REGION...WITH
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES LIKELY FOR TUESDAY...ALONG WITH SOME
RETURNING LIGHT RAIN POTENTIAL DUE TO AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   36  56  29  51 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   33  58  30  53 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   36  59  30  56 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   32  55  26  50 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   31  52  26  49 /   0  10   0   0
BYV   32  51  26  47 /   0  10   0   0
MKO   35  57  29  52 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   34  52  26  48 /   0  10   0   0
F10   36  58  30  53 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   35  62  32  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...02
LONG TERM....22





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.