Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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293
FXUS64 KTSA 271725
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1225 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Scattered convection will continue through the afternoon...with
most coverage likely confined to the SE OK and NW AR sites. Earlier
convection across NE OK may have stabilized these locations some...so
will not include any thunder mention at those sites...but keep
VCTS at the remaining sites through 01-02z as convection is expected
to remain primarily diurnally driven. Otherwise...VFR conditions
to prevail at all sites. The exception will be the initial
MVFR cigs across NW AR that should lift to VFR by mid afternoon.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1010 AM CDT WED JUL 27 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Have updated morning pops to better fit current trends. Expect
additional scattered convection to develop this afternoon...much
like yesterday. That said...broadbrushing high chance pops across
the entire area looks good. Will leave afternoon max temps as they
are for now...but cloud cover trends and areal coverage of rain
may require later updates.

Updated ZFP/PFM/AFM out shortly.


TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.

$$

SHORT TERM...23

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

AVIATION...23



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