Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 210810
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
310 AM CDT Sun May 21 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas will get a well deserved
break from the rain Today as high pressure reigns supreme for
the day. Temperatures will be a little below normal for this time
of year even with plentiful sunshine.

Showers and thunderstorms return to the forecast as early as Monday
afternoon and continue into Tuesday as a series of mid-level
shortwaves embedded in the emerging northwesterly flow aloft push a
cold front through the region Monday night into Tuesday morning.
Instability looks meager at this time and severe weather is not
anticipated. Rainfall amounts will also be much less than recent events
and are not expected to worsen the current flooding situation.

Dry weather returns mid-week and continues into Saturday as high pressure
prevails at the surface and the northwesterly flow aloft gives way to
a more zonal pattern across the area. Showers and thunderstorms return
Saturday night into Sunday as the next storm system affects the region.

A spell of unseasonably cool temperatures is on tap for much of the week
with temperatures finally warming above normal Friday into Saturday
as southwesterly low level winds develop in advance of the weekend storm
system.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  54  77  57 /   0  10  20  50
FSM   76  55  79  58 /   0   0  10  30
MLC   75  53  77  57 /   0   0  10  40
BVO   74  50  76  54 /   0  10  20  40
FYV   70  49  74  53 /   0   0  10  40
BYV   70  50  75  54 /   0   0  10  30
MKO   73  52  77  57 /   0   0  10  40
MIO   71  51  76  55 /   0   0  10  50
F10   74  53  77  57 /   0   0  10  40
HHW   79  57  77  58 /   0   0  10  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....10


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