Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 141954
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
254 PM CDT Mon Aug 14 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Remains of late night MCS have pushed in AR with a lingering band
of convection noted across parts of eastern OK. Old frontal
boundary to our south will lift north tonight and become diffuse
although still may see widely scattered overnight convection in
the very moist atmosphere.

Convective focus is expected to shift to our northwest later
Tuesday/Tuesday night as upper flow becomes increasingly
southwesterly and frontal boundary develops across the central
Plains. A stronger wave is forecast to move into the Plains by
Wednesday...with the frontal boundary and associated convection
making a run toward the forecast area later in the day and into
Wednesday night.

Thursday should be mostly quiet...although the ECMWF/GFS continue
to suggest potential MCS activity both Thursday and Friday nights
in the northwesterly upper flow.

Mid-level height rises/expansion of the ridge looks to finally set
back in later in the weekend and persist well into next
week...along with hot/humid/more August-like conditions.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   72  91  77  90 /  40  30  20  50
FSM   72  91  76  92 /  50  40  10  20
MLC   74  91  77  90 /  30  20  10  20
BVO   69  90  75  90 /  40  30  30  50
FYV   68  86  72  88 /  50  40  10  20
BYV   68  87  72  90 /  50  40  20  30
MKO   71  89  74  90 /  40  40  20  20
MIO   69  89  74  90 /  40  40  20  50
F10   72  90  75  88 /  40  20  20  30
HHW   74  90  75  91 /  20  20  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....18


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