Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 151531
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1031 AM CDT WED MAY 15 2013

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE CURRENTLY
PUSHING INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING AS A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WAS MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN TEXAS AND SOUTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA.
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN
COVERAGE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS TODAY AND
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. INSTABILITY OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW FOR
THE POTENTIAL OF ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT WITH
LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREATS.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS
WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KEEP TEMPS FROM
REACHING THEIR FULL POTENTIAL. MORNING UPDATE WILL BE TO ADJUST
POP/WX GRIDS BASED ON LATEST RADAR TRENDS AND TO TWEAK AFTERNOON
SKY/WIND GRIDS. THE REST OF THE CURRENT FORECAST CONFIGURATION
SEEMS TO BE HANDLING WELL.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   82  66  79  68 /  40  40  30  10
FSM   78  62  75  65 /  60  70  50  20
MLC   78  64  77  67 /  60  70  40  10
BVO   84  63  79  65 /  30  20  20  10
FYV   76  60  73  63 /  50  70  40  20
BYV   80  60  73  62 /  30  50  40  20
MKO   78  63  77  66 /  60  70  40  10
MIO   83  63  77  63 /  40  40  30  10
F10   78  64  78  66 /  60  70  30  10
HHW   77  62  78  66 /  60  70  40  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....07
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