Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 150958
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
358 AM CST Wed Nov 15 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue this
morning as a cold front moves south across the area. The
precipitation will shift south and diminish by this afternoon. The
frontal boundary will stall just to our south tonight before
beginning to lift north as a warm front Thursday. A few light
showers may occur late Thursday into early Friday as the warmer
and more humid air spreads back north across the area.

Friday continues to look unseasonably warm, especially across the
western part of the forecast area where sunshine will be most
abundant. Fire danger will also increase Friday, especially west
of Highway 75 in northeast Oklahoma.

The models have come into better agreement on a slower movement of
a cold front through the area Friday night and early Saturday. The
timing of the front will be unfavorable for any convection, so
kept the forecast dry for Friday night and Saturday. Breezy
northwest winds Saturday will keep the fire danger up some.
Temperatures will fall back to near the seasonal normals over the
weekend into the first part of next week.

Stayed close to guidance temperatures the next couple days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   66  38  64  56 /  40   0  10  20
FSM   67  42  64  52 /  70   0  10  20
MLC   66  44  64  57 /  50   0  20  20
BVO   64  31  64  53 /  30   0  10  20
FYV   63  33  63  50 /  80   0   0  20
BYV   62  36  62  49 /  80   0   0  20
MKO   66  39  64  54 /  70   0  10  20
MIO   63  36  65  53 /  50   0   0  20
F10   66  40  64  57 /  50   0  10  20
HHW   68  52  63  56 /  40  10  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....05

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