National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 161751
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1251 PM CDT THU MAY 16 2013

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUE TO PUSH ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. MVFR CEILINGS WITH POCKETS OF VFR
CEILINGS WILL BE COMMON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE THE LOW
EXITS. BEHIND THE LOW...DENSE FOG WITH IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND VIS
WILL BE POSSIBLE TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE REGION. THE TIMING WILL BE DEPENDENT UPON THE TIMING OF
HOW QUICKLY THE CURRENT CLOUD COVER CAN CLEAR.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1031 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2013/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS CONTINUED TO PUSH ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS
MORNING...WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. AS OF 10 AM MOST OF THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WAS CONFINED TO JUST SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER
IN NORTHEAST TEXAS. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS MOST OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...CURRENTLY MOVING INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA...CONTINUES TO
MAKE ITS WAY EASTWARD. A LIMITED SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL REMAINS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WHERE HIGHER INSTABILITY RESIDES. IF ANY STORM COULD BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE...HAIL AND WIND WOULD BE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL REMAIN
COMMON ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS THE LOW PUSHES THROUGH. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL KEEP TEMPS DOWN AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 70S POSSIBLE. THUS...MORNING UPDATE WILL BE TO
TWEAK POP/WX/SKY/TEMP GRIDS BASED ON LATEST TRENDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   66  84  68  89 /  10  10  10  10
FSM   64  82  66  88 /  40  10  10  10
MLC   64  82  67  88 /  20  10  10  10
BVO   62  85  65  89 /  10  10  10  10
FYV   60  79  63  84 /  30  20  10  10
BYV   61  80  64  83 /  30  20  10  10
MKO   64  82  67  89 /  20  10  10  10
MIO   62  84  67  86 /  20  10  10  10
F10   64  83  67  89 /  10  10  10  10
HHW   65  80  67  87 /  30  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...20

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office