Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 200231
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
831 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Have only made few minor adjustments to the grids for Tonight to
better reflect the current trends in observations and the short-term
model guidance.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 454 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017/

DISCUSSION...

The discussion for the 00Z TAF forecast can be found below.

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions will prevail thru the period at all sites. Light
winds tonight will pick up out of the south by mid morning Monday,
with gusts abv 20 kts possible at the NE OK and NW AR sites.

Lacy

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 254 PM CST Sun Nov 19 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns increase Monday afternoon especially across
northeast Oklahoma where winds will be the strongest. Forecast
trended toward slightly warmer high temps along with slightly
lower dewpoints which results in near red flag criteria.
The lack of appreciable rainfall along with conditions near the
current forecast will support rapid fire spread Monday afternoon.

Cold front passes during the day Tuesday with cooler temperatures
lagging the wind shift. Wednesday will likely be the coolest day
of the week before a quick warm up Thursday and well above normal
temperatures Friday. The next cold front arrives Saturday and
again is expected to pass through the region dry.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10



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