Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 231054
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
554 AM CDT Sat Sep 23 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
MVFR to occasional IFR visibility has developed at KFYV and will
likely persist for an hour or two after issuance time. Otherwise
VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 345 AM CDT Sat Sep 23 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Unseasonably warm temps to continue through Monday. Forecast
trends remain largely on track with current longwave trough over
the western U.S. making slow progress eastward over the first part
of next week. This process will aid a cold front passing through
the forecast area Monday night through Tuesday. While an isolated
shower may develop as early as Sunday afternoon the more defined
precip chances will accompany the frontal passage. The strongest
forcing with the passing wave looks to lift quickly north of the
region leaving meager lapse rates atop the frontal zone. This
pattern does not bode well for precip chances as the front pushes
southeastward and overall precip amounts across the entire forecast
area continue to trend lighter. The more noticeable change will
be the return to seasonal temps from mid week through next
weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   92  71  90  69 /   0   0  10  10
FSM   93  70  92  69 /   0   0  10  10
MLC   91  71  90  69 /   0   0  10   0
BVO   92  66  91  66 /   0   0  10  10
FYV   88  66  87  64 /  10   0  10  10
BYV   90  66  88  65 /  10   0  10  10
MKO   91  70  90  68 /   0   0  10  10
MIO   91  69  89  68 /   0   0  10  10
F10   91  70  90  68 /   0   0  10   0
HHW   92  70  91  69 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...14


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