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000
FXUS64 KTSA 181607
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1107 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013

.DISCUSSION...
FOG HAS LIFTED ACROSS FAR NE OKLAHOMA AND NW ARKANSAS. FRONTAL
BOUNDARY NEAR I-20 AND MCV IN NC TEXAS WILL BE FOCUS OF
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH ANY ASSOCIATED
ACTIVITY LIKELY REMAINING SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. EARLIER UPDATES
ISSUED TO REMOVE FOG AND INCORPORATE LATEST CLOUD AND TEMP
TRENDS...FORECAST HIGH APPEAR REASONABLE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 543 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
PATCHY DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING...PRIMARILY
OVER NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED
THROUGH MUCH OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013/

DISCUSSION...
ASIDE FROM A STRAY LIGHT RAIN SHOWER OR TWO ACROSS MADISON
AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...THE FORECAST
AREA HAS BEEN DRY OVERNIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE STAYED TO THE
SOUTH OF THE AREA NEAR A FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT STRETCHES ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS INTO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. EXPECT THE AREA TO STAY DRY
TODAY AS WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION.

THE NORTHERN REACHES OF THE FORECAST AREA MAY BE BRUSHED BY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS A SERIES OF
MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVES MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. AN MCS MAY
DEVELOP OVER EASTERN KANSAS WEDNESDAY EVENING AND MOVE INTO EXTREME
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY.

WILL KEEP THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT
BUILDS INTO THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST BEGINNING ON THURSDAY
AND SHIFTING OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY OVER THE WEEKEND.
THE RESULT FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS IS HOT AND
HUMID CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   88  68  89  73 /  10  10  10  10
FSM   88  67  90  70 /  10  10  10  10
MLC   87  67  89  72 /  10  10  10  10
BVO   87  64  88  69 /  10  10  20  20
FYV   84  61  87  65 /  10  10  10  20
BYV   84  62  87  66 /  10  10  10  20
MKO   86  67  89  70 /  10  10  10  10
MIO   87  65  89  70 /  10  10  10  20
F10   85  68  88  72 /  10  10  10  10
HHW   88  69  90  71 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....99