Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 031100
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
SCATTERED TO BROKEN MID CLOUDS ALONG WITH SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS SHOULD AGAIN BE COMMON ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TODAY. OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...CLOUD COVER SHOULD INCREASE
IN COVERAGE AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE PUSHES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
PRECIP CHANCES LOOK TO INCREASE JUST OUTSIDE THIS TAF PERIOD OVER
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 254 AM CDT MON AUG 3 2015/

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED MID/HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES
RUNNING NEAR OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL. SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE TUESDAY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH APPROACHING SHORT WAVE MOVING OUT OF
THE ROCKIES. SECONDARY UPPER WAVE WILL MOVE JUST NORTH OF THE AREA
ON WEDNESDAY...WITH LINGERING PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THESE
SAME AREAS. WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NE OK WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...PUSHING INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA/WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
BY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE STALLING.

SLOW WARMING TREND EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS UPPER RIDGE
OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BEGINS TO MOVE EAST INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. LOW PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY AS NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PERSIST. EXCESSIVE HEAT WILL
BE THE MAIN CONCERN...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY INTO EARLY PART OF NEXT
WEEK AS UPPER HIGH SHIFTS DIRECTLY OVER THE REGION. TRIPLE DIGIT
TEMPERATURES WILL BE LIKELY IN LOCATIONS THAT DO NOT RECEIVE
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IN THE UPCOMING DAYS AND AREAS THAT DO
WILL LIKELY SEE ELEVATED DEW-POINTS/HEAT INDICES ABOVE THE
CENTURY MARK. EITHER WAY...THE DOG DAYS OF SUMMER ARE UPON US.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   94  74  89  73 /  10  10  30  40
FSM   97  74  95  74 /  10  10  20  40
MLC   95  72  94  76 /  10  10  10  20
BVO   95  70  88  68 /  10  10  60  60
FYV   92  67  91  70 /  10  10  40  50
BYV   93  70  90  69 /  10  10  40  50
MKO   94  73  90  72 /  10  10  30  40
MIO   94  69  88  69 /  10  10  40  60
F10   94  74  92  75 /  10  10  30  30
HHW   98  71  97  76 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...20



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