Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 190229
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
829 PM CST Sun Feb 18 2018

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Low level moisture surging north per low-level water vapor imagery
and surface observations. Dewpoints continue to creep upwards into
the upper 40s and lower 50s this evening across eastern Oklahoma
and western Arkansas. This has aided in the development of patchy
fog and drizzle this evening. Increasing surface winds should keep
dense fog at bay and expect showers to begin developing over the
next several hours across southeast Oklahoma. A 50-60 kt low-level
jet and a bit of elevated instability should allow for some
widely scattered thunderstorms to develop after midnight,
primarily south of Interstate 40 but could see some activity as
far north as Highway 412.

Changes to the forecast were to add mention of patchy fog and
remove mention of thunder until after 06Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   55  71  63  67 /  80  80  80  90
FSM   52  72  61  73 /  60  80  80  90
MLC   54  70  66  71 /  60  90  70  90
BVO   54  72  60  65 /  60  70  80  90
FYV   53  69  64  70 /  60  80  80  90
BYV   51  68  62  71 /  60  80  70  90
MKO   53  70  63  70 /  80  90  80  90
MIO   54  70  61  66 /  60  80  80  90
F10   54  70  64  69 /  60  80  80  90
HHW   52  70  64  72 /  50  70  70  90

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11


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