Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 240903
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
403 AM CDT Sat Jun 24 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and thunderstorms still appear likely to affect parts of
far southeast Oklahoma this morning, but the heaviest activity
looks as though it will stay to the west and south of the area.
Precipitation will end by afternoon, and a couple days of
relatively low dewpoints and cool nighttime temperatures will
follow.

Not much has changed since yesterday regarding the weather pattern
over the upcoming week. Northwest flow aloft will become more
zonal by midweek. There is little consistent signal for
precipitation through Thursday, although weak waves embedded in
the flow may trigger an isolated shower or storm just about any
day. Silent 10 percent pops look to be sufficient to cover this
for now. A frontal boundary will approach the area at the end of
the week and hang around in the vicinity into next weekend. Shower
and thunderstorm chances will increase by late Thursday night and
especially Friday into the weekend as a result.

The GFS and NAM MOS guidance temperatures have warmed into better
agreement with the previous runs of the ECMWF and will be
followed. The blended solution is still lagging a bit behind, so
raised those numbers for afternoon highs the next couple days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   86  62  89  64 /  10  10  10  10
FSM   86  63  90  64 /  10   0  10   0
MLC   84  61  88  63 /  10  10  10  10
BVO   85  57  88  59 /  10  10  10  10
FYV   81  55  84  56 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   81  56  85  59 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   85  61  88  62 /  10  10  10   0
MIO   83  58  86  60 /  10   0  10  10
F10   84  61  87  64 /  10  10  10   0
HHW   83  64  88  64 /  70  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....05

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