Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 230839
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
339 AM CDT Sun Apr 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Clouds have been slow to totally clear out of our forecast area,
on the back side of upper low pressure system now in the
Southeast. There are just a few clouds across far southeast
Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas and these will continue to
decrease this morning. The weather will be great today with light
winds, full sun, and highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Next storm system is already moving onshore across northern CA/OR.
Lee side trough will develop across eastern CO/WY today with
increasing winds Monday and Tuesday across eastern Oklahoma.
Temperatures will be warmer as well on Mon/Tue in response to
increased southerly flow and low level warm advection. Next chance
for precipitation arrives Tuesday evening into early Wednesday
morning ahead of cold front approaching from Kansas. Thunderstorms
are expected to form along the front in Kansas by late afternoon
and build southward into northeast Oklahoma by Tue evening. Deep
layer wind shear will increase to around 50kt by that time with
moderate instability in place. This will support strong to severe
storms Tue night into the overnight hours Wednesday.

The rest of the week will bring scattered chances for showers and
storms, with the possibility of heavy rain and severe weather
through the end of the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   71  47  77  59 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   73  45  80  55 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   72  44  78  59 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   71  41  77  54 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   67  36  74  52 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   69  41  78  53 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   70  44  77  56 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   70  43  75  55 /   0   0   0   0
F10   69  44  76  58 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   71  44  79  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...12
LONG TERM....06

CORFIDI



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