Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 182001
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
301 PM CDT Tue Jul 18 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid conditions will continue for the next several days
as high pressure aloft remains in control of the overall weather
pattern. Slow warming trend is expected through the remainder of
the work week with heat index values climbing to around 105 degrees
each afternoon. For now have opted not to issue a heat advisory
for Wednesday given indices are marginal. However, an advisory
will likely be needed at some point this week for much of eastern
Oklahoma and west-central Arkansas starting as early as tomorrow.

Upper ridge aloft may begin to break down enough to allow a weak
front to move into the region Sunday night into Monday. GFS a
little more aggressive with boundary and associated upper wave
which would bring at least a chance for scattered showers/thunderstorms
into early next week. At the very least, increased cloud cover
should drop high temperatures back a few degrees Monday/Tuesday to
more seasonable levels.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   76  98  77  98 /   0   0   0  10
FSM   75  96  76  99 /   0  10   0  10
MLC   73  96  74  97 /   0  10   0  10
BVO   67  98  70  98 /   0   0   0  10
FYV   66  91  68  93 /   0  10   0  10
BYV   70  93  71  94 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   73  96  73  98 /   0  10   0  10
MIO   71  94  73  97 /   0   0   0  10
F10   74  96  73  98 /   0   0   0  10
HHW   74  96  74  97 /   0  10   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....12


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