Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 041059
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
559 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

IFR VSBYS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE NW AR TERMINALS THROUGH MID
MORNING...WITH RAPID IMPROVEMENT THEREAFTER. ISOLATED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL ONCE AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND S
OF I-40...SO VCTS MENTION WILL BE INCLUDED AT MLC/FSM THROUGH
EARLY EVENING. FOG REDEVELOPMENT AGAIN POSSIBLE TOWARD TOMORROW
MORNING AT THE NW AR TERMINALS...BUT DO NOT EXPECT IT TO BE AS BAD
AS THIS MORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 235 AM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...

SURFACE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS FRONTAL ZONE LIES CLOSE TO THE RED
RIVER THIS MORNING. A WNW TO ESE ORIENTED BAND OF CONVECTION
CONTINUES NORTH OF THE FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN OK. THE LATEST SHORT
TERM HI RES DATA SUGGESTS THAT THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO
GRADUALLY SINK DOWN TO ALONG OR SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER BY THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY. BY AFTERNOON...SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OK OVER INTO
WESTERN AR...WITH COVERAGE AND INTENSITY GENERALLY LESS THAN
YESTERDAY. AS IT APPEARS NOW...FOURTH OF JULY FESTIVITIES IN THE
EVENING SHOULD BE GOOD TO GO IN MOST PLACES. SHOWER AND STORM
CHANCES INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY IN A WAA
REGIME WITH RETREATING BOUNDARY.

QUIET WEATHER WILL PREVAIL SUNDAY NIGHT AND FOR MOST OF THE DAY
MONDAY. THE NEXT FRONT WILL BRING HIGHER RAIN/STORM CHANCES MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY...TAPERING OFF AS WE HEAD TOWARD THE MIDDLE TO
LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

A MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD ALOFT OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES
BY NEXT WEEKEND...MAINTAINING HOT AND DRY WEATHER. FORTUNATELY IT
DOES NOT APPEAR THE RIDGE WILL BE HERE TO STAY FOR LONG.

LACY

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...22



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