Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 040845
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
345 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front will move across the area today with little
impact other than a wind shift to the north and cooler overnight
temperatures tonight. Otherwise, a warming trend will continue
into the early part of the weekend, with most places reaching the
80s each day from Friday through Sunday.

An upper level storm system will move slowly east out of the
intermountain west into the Plains early next week. The latest
data suggests convective chances will likely be delayed in our
area until late Sunday night or Monday when better low level
moisture finally arrives. The highest rain chances look to be from
late Monday through Tuesday, with chances continuing Wednesday as
well when a weak cold front will move across the area.

The blended high temperatures appear several degrees too cool from
Saturday on, with the MOS guidance numbers looking much more
reasonable. The guidance low temperatures also look reasonable for
overnight lows through the forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   79  47  79  52 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   81  48  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   80  47  78  49 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   79  42  79  46 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   73  40  73  42 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   73  43  73  46 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   79  46  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   74  44  76  48 /   0   0   0   0
F10   80  47  77  51 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   81  49  78  50 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....05

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