Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

586
FXUS64 KTSA 242314
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
514 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

VFR conditions are expected through the prevailing period.
Northwest winds will slacked after 03Z as cold front continues to
move eastward. As surface high pressure builds over the region
tomorrow, winds will gradually switch through the day from
northwesterly to southerly.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 329 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Much different feel to today, as temperatures currently running
anywhere from 25 to 40 degrees cooler than this time yesterday;
but still not far off seasonal norms. Gusty northwest winds will
subside thus evening as surface high settles over the region,
setting up strong radiational cooling. Given the low dew points
in place, forecast lows will side with cooler MET/MAV numbers as
most areas see temperatures in the 20s, and a few teens possible
in normally colder spots near the KS/OK border. Light winds and
mostly sunny skies will make for a pleasant, albeit cool Saturday
with highs near normal.

Approaching upper system will help establish warm front to our
south by Sunday with surface high moving off to the east. Moist
flow from the south will interact with the boundary Sunday night
as low level jet becomes established over the southern plains,
and this offers the highest chance of precip for the bulk of the
forecast area Sunday night into Monday morning. Modest elevated
instability supports a limited threat of thunderstorms, with
precip shifting east Monday. Sfc low expected to slide to our
north Tuesday with more veered low level flow supporting return
to much above normal temps, with majority of moisture being
shunted to the east. Cold front sweeps through Wednesday with
quiet weather to begin March.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   24  49  34  59 /   0   0   0  20
FSM   30  51  31  62 /   0   0   0  20
MLC   27  51  33  61 /   0   0   0  20
BVO   21  49  27  59 /   0   0   0  30
FYV   23  47  23  55 /   0   0   0  20
BYV   25  47  28  55 /   0   0   0  20
MKO   26  48  31  61 /   0   0   0  20
MIO   24  47  28  56 /   0   0   0  30
F10   27  49  33  61 /   0   0   0  10
HHW   31  54  33  62 /   0   0   0  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...11



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.