000
FXUS64 KTSA 141743
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1243 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A
LOW PRESSURE MAKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. CLOUD
COVER IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH LATE TONIGHT AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW APPROACHES THE REGION. A CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD...WITH CHANCES SPREADING
NORTHWARD JUST OUTSIDE OF THE TAF PERIOD. THUS...WILL EXTEND THE
PROB30 GROUP FOR MLC. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1036 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES HAVE ALREADY WARMED INTO THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80
DEGREES AS OF 10 AM THIS MORNING WITH BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS.
THESE WINDS WILL AGAIN BECOME GUSTY IN THE 20 TO NEAR 30 MPH RANGE
THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A WAVE EXPECTED TO EXIT OUT OF THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL HELP TEMPS
GET TO AND ABOVE YESTERDAYS HIGHS THROUGHOUT THE REGION...WITH SOME
LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA MAKING A RUN AT 90 DEGREES OR
BETTER TODAY. MORNING UPDATE WILL BE TO TWEAK MAX TEMP AND WIND
GRIDS...OTHERWISE THE REST OF THE FORECAST LOOKS GOOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   67  79  65  78 /  10  30  50  30
FSM   63  78  62  76 /  10  40  70  50
MLC   65  76  64  76 /  20  50  60  40
BVO   64  80  65  79 /  10  20  40  30
FYV   60  75  60  74 /  10  40  70  40
BYV   61  77  60  74 /  10  40  70  40
MKO   64  77  63  76 /  10  40  70  40
MIO   64  80  64  77 /  10  20  40  30
F10   66  76  64  76 /  10  40  60  40
HHW   63  76  63  78 /  30  70  70  40

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...20