Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 290853
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
353 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
COLD FRONT CURRENTLY PASSING THROUGH NW KANSAS WILL ENTER NE OK
AROUND NOON AND PUSH INTO FAR SE BY EARLY EVENING. LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE TODAY HOWEVER SIDED MORE TOWARD
THE LESSER VALUES SHOWN IN THE RAP DATA GIVEN OBSERVED CONDITIONS
ACROSS SOUTH TX. REGARDLESS...A STOUT CAPPING INVERSION WILL
SUPPRESS ANY PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION HOWEVER BY EARLY EVENING
SCATTERED CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE ACROSS SE
OK BEFORE THE FRONT CLEARS THE RED RIVER DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON MONDAY.

NO APPRECIABLE COOLING IS EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT W/ HIGH TEMPS
REMAINING ABOVE NORMAL ON MONDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL WORK SLOWLY NORTHWARD MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...AND WILL BE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES. A WEAK WAVE WILL
ALSO BE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...THOUGH
COVERAGE OF ANY RESULTANT PRECIP IS HIGHLY VARIABLE AMONGST DATA.

TEMPS WILL WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK WITH INCREASING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALSO MAINTAINING MORE MILD OVERNIGHT LOWS. THE
NEXT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED FRONT PUSH THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY
WHICH WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR PRECIP CHANCES FOR LATE IN THE WORK
WEEK. TEMPS NEARER NORMAL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   70  43  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   75  47  73  54 /  10  10   0  20
MLC   76  49  73  58 /   0  10   0  20
BVO   71  39  72  48 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   67  40  69  50 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   67  41  68  49 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   72  44  72  53 /  10   0   0  10
MIO   66  39  70  49 /  10   0   0  10
F10   73  46  72  55 /   0   0   0  20
HHW   78  55  71  59 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07




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