Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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188
FXUS64 KTSA 282306
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
606 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017

.DISCUSSION...

The 00Z TAF discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions will prevail with surface high pressure building
into the region behind a cool front. The main exception will be
the potential for some fog in the valleys, which could affect
mainly KFYV and possibly KFSM toward sunrise. Will reevaluate this
potential with the 06Z TAFs later.

Lacy

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 309 PM CDT Sun May 28 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Cold front is currently across N TX through central AR and will
focus any further convection south and east of the forecast area.
Sfc high pressure slowly builds across the region through Monday
providing a pleasant end to the holiday weekend.

Northwesterly flow aloft allows another cold front to push into
the area Tuesday - Tuesday night and this will support a low
chance of precip. This front weakens with westward extend and a
quick return to southerly flow and higher moisture begins
Wednesday. Data have been consistent in bring a weak mid level low
slowly across the Southern Plains for mid to late week. This
feature along with increasing moisture will likely support several
days of scattered convection. Flow aloft will remain weak limiting
the severe weather potential however locally heavy rainfall is
likely during this time frame. Temps will be warm for the first
part of the week before trending toward seasonal normals by late
week with the increasing cloud cover.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   58  87  60  85 /   0   0  10  20
FSM   60  88  62  86 /  10   0   0  20
MLC   57  87  58  86 /  10   0   0  20
BVO   53  86  54  82 /   0  10  10  20
FYV   51  81  54  80 /   0   0   0  20
BYV   54  82  57  80 /   0   0  10  20
MKO   57  86  59  84 /   0   0   0  20
MIO   55  83  55  80 /   0  10  10  20
F10   57  86  59  84 /   0   0   0  20
HHW   62  85  62  86 /  10   0   0  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...30



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