Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 072334
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
634 PM CDT MON JUL 7 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO TUESDAY WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS. COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA TUESDAY MORNING...PUSHING
TO NEAR INTERSTATE 40 BY 00Z. COULD SEE A FEW SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP ALONG FRONTAL BOUNDARY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...PRIMARILY OVER
NW AR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CDT MON JUL 7 2014/

DISCUSSION...
HEAT ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR TULSA AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES
IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH 7 PM AS HEAT INDEX VALUES REMAIN NEAR THE
105 DEGREE MARK. A FEW SHOWERS MAY MAKE IT INTO EXTREME NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE REMNANTS OF AN MCS MOVE INTO THE REGION.

A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY ACROSS SOUTHERN NEBRASKA WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY MORNING AND SLOWLY WORK TO THE SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA BEFORE STALLING OUT NEAR THE RED RIVER. THE FRONT WILL
RETURN BACK TO THE NORTH ON THURSDAY AS A WARM FRONT. WILL CONTINUE WITH
POPS FROM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
COULD SEE SOME STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THE CONCERN.

THE HOT TEMPERATURES RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILING
AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. HOWEVER...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL RETROGRADE TO THE
WEST LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK ALLOWING A COLD FRONT TO
MOVE INTO THE REGION. SO...COOLER TEMPERATURES APPEAR MORE LIKELY
NEXT WEEK.


&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM MONDAY FOR OKZ055-OKZ060.

AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...12






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