Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
000
FXUS64 KTSA 161531
AFDTSA
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1031 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2013
...UPDATE...
.DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS CONTINUED TO PUSH ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS
MORNING...WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. AS OF 10 AM MOST OF THE
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WAS CONFINED TO JUST SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER
IN NORTHEAST TEXAS. CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS MOST OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS AS THE LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...CURRENTLY MOVING INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA...CONTINUES TO
MAKE ITS WAY EASTWARD. A LIMITED SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL REMAINS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
WHERE HIGHER INSTABILITY RESIDES. IF ANY STORM COULD BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE...HAIL AND WIND WOULD BE THE MAIN HAZARDS.
LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS AND MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL REMAIN
COMMON ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS THE LOW PUSHES THROUGH. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL KEEP TEMPS DOWN AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN
THE 60S TO MID 70S POSSIBLE. THUS...MORNING UPDATE WILL BE TO
TWEAK POP/WX/SKY/TEMP GRIDS BASED ON LATEST TRENDS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 77 66 84 68 / 20 10 10 10
FSM 75 64 82 66 / 60 40 10 10
MLC 74 64 82 67 / 50 20 10 10
BVO 77 62 85 65 / 20 10 10 10
FYV 69 60 79 63 / 60 30 20 10
BYV 70 61 80 64 / 50 30 20 10
MKO 75 64 82 67 / 50 20 10 10
MIO 74 62 84 67 / 40 20 10 10
F10 76 64 83 67 / 40 10 10 10
HHW 73 65 80 67 / 70 30 10 10
&&
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....07