Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 180458
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1158 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT N/NE
WINDS. BRIEF MVFR VSBYS ALSO POSSIBLE AT KFYV OVERNIGHT.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 900 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
QUIET WEATHER CONTINUES TO PREVAIL ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE
CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK... SO NO UPDATE WILL BE NECESSARY
THIS EVENING.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 602 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT N/NE WINDS.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 253 PM CDT FRI OCT 17 2014/

DISCUSSION...

VERY QUIET FORECAST CONTINUES...WITH NOTHING IN THE WAY TO WEATHER
HAZARDS TO WORRY ABOUT INTO AT LEAST NEXT WEEKEND.

COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT STRETCHES FROM
NEAR THE BIG BEND REGION OF TEXAS...THROUGH NORTH TEXAS...AND INTO
CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS IS POSITIONED JUST EAST
OF THE ROCKIES...AND WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH TOWARD
THE GULF OF MEXICO. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER
TONIGHT BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES COMPARED TO LAST NIGHT...AND HIGHS
TOMORROW WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAYS. SUNDAY
MORNING TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE THE COOLEST OF THE WEEKEND DUE TO
THE NEAREST APPROACH OF THE SURFACE HIGH.

SOUTH WINDS WILL MAKE A QUICK RETURN FOR SUNDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT
COLD FRONT...WITH NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES LIKELY BOTH
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE FRONT IS LIKELY TO COME THROUGH DRY IN MOST
SPOTS...WITH MOISTURE STILL ON THE LOW SIDE...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED
SHOWERS MAY STILL OCCUR MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. THIS FRONT
WILL FEATURE OUR ONLY EVEN SEMI REAL POTENTIAL FOR RAIN DURING
THE UPCOMING 7 DAYS.

BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES SHOULD PREVAIL THROUGH THE REST OF NEXT
WEEK IN THE WAKE OF THE EARLY WEEK FRONT...AS A SLOW MOVING UPPER
LOW CENTER IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES KEEPS COOL HIGH
PRESSURE IN THE REGION THROUGH THIS TIME FRAME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   49  69  46  74 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   51  71  47  71 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   50  72  48  73 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   44  67  41  72 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   45  66  40  68 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   45  65  43  67 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   49  70  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   44  66  43  70 /   0   0   0   0
F10   50  69  47  72 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   53  75  49  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14






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