Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 191636
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1036 AM CST Mon Feb 19 2018

.DISCUSSION...
Current area of rain and scattered thunder working its way off to
the east northeast this morning. Looks like there will be a break
heading into the afternoon, however latest guidance has been
consistent with additional develop during the afternoon across
much of the area. Will leave afternoon pops as they are for now.
Have updated several times for pop configuration, with the most
recent update to lower temps a few degrees given the the narrow
T/Td spreads and cloud cover.

A very moist, unsettled pattern to continue through the week with
additional widespread rain expected into Wednesday before the
cold front pushes through. A break in coverage of precipitation is
possible, before another round of widepread rain impacts the area
Thursday into Friday. Atypically high moisture content will be in
place this week, which will increase heavy rain potential which
may lead to flooding across parts of eastern Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas by the middle to latter stages of the work week.

Updated ZFP/PFM/AFM already sent.


&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....12



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