Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 222003
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
303 PM CDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The chances of showers and thunderstorms will ramp up
late this afternoon and into tonight as a cold front
currently near the Kansas/Oklahoma border moves into
the region. Additional showers and thunderstorms are also
expected to develop in the vicinity of an outflow boundary
that is currently across extreme southeast Oklahoma. The
cold front is expected to be near the Red River by early
Wednesday morning with the chances of showers and diminishing.
There is the potential that some of the storms this evening
could become strong to marginally severe with damaging winds
the main concern.

Temperatures during the forecast period are expected to remain
below normal with high temperatures 5 to 10 degrees below
normal.

The remainder of the forecast will be highly dependent on
what happens with the tropical disturbance currently off
the Yucatan Peninsula. The ECMWF and GFS both have this
feature moving into south Texas on Friday and moving slowly
northeast along the coast into the middle of next week. In
this scenario most of the rain will remain south and east of the area.
Of course, this scenario could change many times before next
week.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   90  65  85  62 /  50  30   0   0
FSM   92  71  86  64 /  60  60  10  10
MLC   92  71  86  67 /  40  60  20  10
BVO   89  60  83  58 /  30  10   0   0
FYV   85  64  81  58 /  60  40   0   0
BYV   85  62  81  57 /  70  30   0   0
MKO   90  67  85  63 /  60  60   0  10
MIO   85  60  81  58 /  40  10   0   0
F10   90  68  85  64 /  60  60  10  10
HHW   93  73  87  68 /  30  60  50  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....10


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