Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 012006
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
306 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW SHOWERS COULD BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS BUT RELATIVELY STABLE CONDITIONS FROM LIMITED SURFACE
HEATING/CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE ANY THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT.

WEAK SURFACE RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND
AS LONG-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS MAKES VERY SLOW EASTWARD
PROGRESS. SLOW WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK AS WEAK UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY BUILDS INTO THE REGION FROM THE
DESERT SOUTHWEST. AT LEAST A LIMITED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS
BY THURSDAY AS UPPER WAVE ROTATES AROUND PERIPHERY OF HIGH AS NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES. TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN NEAR NORMAL FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK AND FORECAST DOES NOT DEVIATE SIGNIFICANTLY
FROM LATEST NUMERICAL GUIDANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   66  89  67  91 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   65  89  67  91 /  10   0   0   0
MLC   63  89  65  91 /   0  10  10  10
BVO   62  89  63  91 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   59  86  61  87 /  10   0   0   0
BYV   62  85  62  86 /  10   0   0   0
MKO   63  89  66  90 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   63  88  64  89 /   0   0   0   0
F10   64  88  67  90 /   0   0  10  10
HHW   65  88  68  90 /   0  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....12





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