Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS64 KTSA 040001
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
701 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS IN
RESPONSE TO A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE REGION. GREATER
CHANCES LOOKS TO BE OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. PERIODS OF IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN
ANY THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. OVERNIGHT...MID/HIGH CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED FOR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WHILE SOME LOW CIGS/VIS COULD BE
POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
DURING THE DAY SATURDAY...CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME VFR
ACROSS THE CWA. SMALL CHANCES OF PRECIP WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
THOUGH WITH LIMITED EXPECTED COVERAGE WILL KEEP TAF SITES DRY FOR
NOW.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 404 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015/

DISCUSSION...
NUMEROUS BOUNDARIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL PROPAGATE
MORE SHOWERS / THUNDER.  MOST LIKELY AREA NATURAL
FIREWORKS  TONIGHT  SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44...
ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST OK AND WEST CENTRAL AR WHERE
PWA VALUES GREATER 1.75.  SOME..STRONG TO..SEVERE
STORMS ANTICIPATED THIS EVENING...AND SOME HEAVY
RAINERS AS WELL.

DAYLIGHT PORTION OF JULY 4TH MOSTLY DRY...HOWEVER
INCREASING CHANCE THUNDER AFTER DARK SATURDAY AND
HIGHER CHANCES SUNDAY WITH MINOR WAVE.

AXIS OF H500 MB TROUGH CENTERED IN DEEP CANADA TO
SWING THROUGH PLAINS  MONDAY AND TUESDAY. TUESDAY
TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKS PARTICULARLY WET.

MAX TEMPS FOR THE MOST PART SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
HOWEVER..ABOVE NORMAL SURFACE DEWPOINTS MORE THAN
COMPENSATES TO MAKE NOT SO COMFORTABLE WEATHER.
GW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   68  89  72  89 /  20   0  30  50
FSM   70  90  71  90 /  50  20  20  50
MLC   70  89  73  90 /  50  10  40  50
BVO   65  89  68  89 /  20   0  30  40
FYV   64  85  65  87 /  40  30  20  40
BYV   64  84  66  86 /  30  10  10  30
MKO   68  89  71  89 /  30  10  30  60
MIO   65  88  68  89 /  30   0  20  40
F10   68  89  72  89 /  30  10  30  60
HHW   71  90  72  90 /  60  40  30  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...20



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.