Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 282033
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
333 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Moist...uncapped atmosphere has once again yielded convection this
afternoon...mostly of the scattered variety. Slightly higher
coverage has been noted across parts of NE OK in the vicinity of a
weak surface boundary. Coverage elsewhere has been mostly confined
to the higher terrain of SE OK. Expect convection to diminish in
areal coverage this evening as daytime heating is lost.
Overall...forecast has changed very little. Weak mid level flow
and the aforementioned uncapped and moist atmosphere will result
in daily scattered shower and thunderstorm chances. An upper wave
moving across the northern and northeast CONUS will help push a
front into the area mid week..which will aid in convective
chances. Upper level ridging will become better established across
the plains towards the end of the work week...which should limit
convection for the weekend. Peeking ahead into next week beyond
the scope of this forecast...improved mid level flow begins to get
closer to the area...which will likely help push a front towards
the area.



&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   74  93  74  92 /  10  20  20  30
FSM   73  94  73  93 /  10  20  10  20
MLC   71  92  71  92 /  10  20  10  20
BVO   68  92  68  90 /  10  30  20  40
FYV   68  89  68  89 /  10  20  10  20
BYV   69  89  69  88 /  10  20  10  20
MKO   70  93  70  92 /  10  20  10  20
MIO   70  92  70  90 /  10  20  20  30
F10   71  92  71  92 /  10  20  10  20
HHW   71  94  71  93 /  10  20  10  20

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....23



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