Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 170326
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
926 PM CST Thu Nov 16 2017

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Low level cloud decks have spread across Eastern Oklahoma and
Northwest Arkansas this evening ahead of a surface boundary
positioned across Central/Eastern Texas. Also north of the
boundary...low level moisture was lifting into the region with
southeasterly winds beginning to pick up across Northeast
Oklahoma.

Overnight tonight...low clouds will remain common across the CWA
while the boundary lifts northward into Oklahoma. An expanding
area of warm advection and increasing low level moisture over the
CWA interacting with the boundary will aid in chances for light
rain showers/areas of drizzle to be possible during the night.
Current pop configuration looks to be in good shape and will only
add patchy drizzle to Northeast Oklahoma for the evening hours.

Southerly winds during the night should also continue to increase
with gusts in the 15 to around 25 mph forecast by early Friday
morning as the boundary moves across the CWA. These winds combined
with cloudy conditions should keep low temps in the 50s for most
locations. Parts of Eastern Oklahoma could observe slightly rising
temps late tonight into early Friday as moisture continues to
increase and the boundary moves in. Again...current forecast seems
to have a handle on the mentioned above and have only added minor
tweaks to hourly temp/sky/dewpoint/wind grids to account for
latest trends and observations.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   58  76  54  58 /  30  20  10   0
FSM   54  75  59  63 /  20  20  10  10
MLC   59  76  59  60 /  30  20  10   0
BVO   55  75  48  58 /  30  20  10   0
FYV   51  69  59  59 /  20  20  10  10
BYV   50  69  57  57 /  20  20  10  10
MKO   56  73  56  59 /  30  20  10  10
MIO   55  70  52  56 /  30  20  10  10
F10   57  76  56  59 /  30  20  10   0
HHW   57  76  62  66 /  30  20  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
AVIATION.....18


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