Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 310814
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
314 AM CDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY WARM DAY IS ON TAP FOR TODAY ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED
TO TOP OUT IN THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S.

THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN TO THE FORECAST ON
LABOR DAY AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AS A MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE
CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN UNITED STATES MOVES INTO
THE PLAINS AND PUSHES A FRONTAL BOUNDARY INTO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY BEFORE IT
RETURNS TO THE NORTH TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS A WARM FRONT.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCUR DURING
THIS TIME-FRAME COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH GUSTY WINDS AND
HAIL THE CONCERN.

UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MID TO LATE WEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL COME OVER THE WEEKEND
AS THE NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES INTO THE REGION.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   96  76  94  76 /  10  10  20  30
FSM   92  73  92  75 /  10  10  10  20
MLC   92  76  92  77 /  10  10  10  10
BVO   97  75  95  74 /  10  10  20  40
FYV   87  71  88  71 /  10  10  10  20
BYV   90  71  88  72 /  10  10  10  20
MKO   92  73  92  74 /  10  10  10  20
MIO   93  74  91  73 /  10  10  30  40
F10   94  75  92  76 /  10  10  10  20
HHW   92  73  91  74 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....10




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