Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 041034
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
534 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions are expected to prevail at all area TAF sites
through the valid period.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 AM CDT WED MAY 4 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front will move across the area today with little
impact other than a wind shift to the north and cooler overnight
temperatures tonight. Otherwise, a warming trend will continue
into the early part of the weekend, with most places reaching the
80s each day from Friday through Sunday.

An upper level storm system will move slowly east out of the
intermountain west into the Plains early next week. The latest
data suggests convective chances will likely be delayed in our
area until late Sunday night or Monday when better low level
moisture finally arrives. The highest rain chances look to be from
late Monday through Tuesday, with chances continuing Wednesday as
well when a weak cold front will move across the area.

The blended high temperatures appear several degrees too cool from
Saturday on, with the MOS guidance numbers looking much more
reasonable. The guidance low temperatures also look reasonable for
overnight lows through the forecast period.

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...10



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