Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 040206
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
906 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
The success of persistence forecasting continues to persist. No
changes to the forecast will ne necessary this evening.



&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 637 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2015/

..UPDATE...

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
There may be some patchy light fog in a few spots early
Friday morning...otherwise expect VFR conditions to prevail.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 309 PM CDT THU SEP 3 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Rain chances will remain at a minimum over the next several days
.along with a repeat in day to day high temperatures as the
upper ridge remains intact across the region. A cold front will
largely remain north of the area for much of the next
week...however outflow dominant convection may make into parts of
northeast Oklahoma for the early part of the week...so will keep
low pops across those areas. True cold front may push into the
area at the very tail end of this forecast cycle...so have
increased pops some across all of the forecast area at that time.
Upper pattern by the middle of next week isnt supportive for a
significant boundary push further into, or through the area.
Therefore...Will keep high chance pops only across far ne
Oklahoma for now given uncertainty in frontal position.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...06



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