Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 042055
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
355 PM CDT SAT JUL 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...
HIT AND MISS SHOWERS/THUNDER TONIGHT...MOSTLY MISS.
NORTHEAST OK DRY DURING EVENING FIREWORKS. HIGHEST
POPS  FAR SOUTHEAST OK CHOCTAW PUSHMATAHA SOUTH LE
FLORE WHERE STORMS ALREADY IN PROGRESS.

MARGINAL POP SUNDAY WITH MOST LOCATIONS DRY TO END
THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

ROBUST (FOR SUMMER) UPPER SUPPORT MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY-TUESDAY NIGHT AS UPPER TROUGH & ASSOCIATED
COLD FRONT  SWING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. BIG
THUNDER FAIR BET AS WELL AS POTENTIAL  SIGNIFICANT
RAIN GIVEN PWA VALUES 1.7-2.1.  ECMWF STALLS FRONT
OVER AREA INTO WEDNESDAY  AND THURSDAY WHICH WOULD
HEIGHTEN HEAVY RAIN / FLOOD THREAT MID-WEEK.    GW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  91  77  92 /  20  20  10  20
FSM   71  91  73  91 /  20  40  10  20
MLC   73  89  75  91 /  30  30  10  10
BVO   68  91  73  91 /  20  20  10  30
FYV   65  86  69  86 /  20  30  10  20
BYV   66  87  70  86 /  10  30  10  20
MKO   71  89  73  90 /  20  20  10  20
MIO   69  91  73  90 /  20  30   0  30
F10   72  90  75  90 /  20  20  10  20
HHW   72  90  74  91 /  40  40  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....21



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