Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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535
FXUS64 KTSA 230948
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
348 AM CST Mon Jan 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Surface high pressure stretching from south TX into the Dakotas this
morning with light winds in most areas. Some low clouds persist
across northwest AR, but should move east through the morning with
mostly sunny skies becoming the norm. Winds will begin to shift
around out of the south as high moves east with temperatures
reaching above normal levels once again.

Potent shortwave off the west coast will move across the plains
Tuesday, taking a track well to our north. Surface pressure will
respond Tuesday with deep low tracking across Kansas. Strong and
gusty south winds should develop in response Tuesday morning, with
trajectory of sfc low favoring veering of low level flow by
afternoon. This should send temps much above normal with low 70s
common across eastern OK. Drier air will be poised to the west and
likely surge toward eastern OK by mid-late afternoon, potentially
resulting in RH values below 25% in some areas for at least a
short time, depending on how quickly this evolves. Critical fire
weather conditions likely to occur to our west and may develop
into portions of eastern OK.

Cold front will push through the area Tuesday night with temperatures
Wednesday returning near normal. No appreciable change in day to
day temperatures through next weekend with dry conditions for the
foreseeable future.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   57  43  71  35 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   57  36  71  38 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   60  45  71  36 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   57  35  70  31 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   55  34  66  34 /   0   0   0  10
BYV   52  38  65  37 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   55  41  70  36 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   54  39  68  34 /   0   0   0   0
F10   58  44  71  35 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   62  42  71  40 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....14



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