Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
679
FXUS64 KTSA 251932
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
232 PM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Surface front currently stretches from eastern KS into
southwestern OK...with an unstable and weakly capped atmosphere
located across our region. Have seen isolated weak convection
develop earlier in the terrain areas and most recently near the
frontal boundary across northern OK. Convection will eventually
expand in coverage from eastern KS into the TX panhandle...with
areas northwest of I-44 having the best chances of seeing late
afternoon/evening storms. A strong/severe storm will be
possible...along with a few spots of locally heavy rainfall.

The weak front will likely lift back north of the area by
Friday...but still could see widely scattered areas of
showers/thunderstorms as weak impulses traverse the region in the
southwesterly flow aloft.

Mid-level flow weakens over the weekend and into next week as the
main belt of westerlies lifts north. Expect an extended period of
near seasonal temperatures with mainly diurnal chances of showers
and thunderstorms.

Still plenty of model uncertainty concerning potential track of
tropical system into the Gulf of Mexico next week. Stay tuned.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   72  92  72  93 /  30  30  20  30
FSM   74  91  72  92 /  20  50  20  30
MLC   72  90  70  92 /  20  40  20  30
BVO   69  91  68  92 /  50  30  20  20
FYV   69  86  67  88 /  20  50  20  30
BYV   70  85  68  88 /  30  50  20  30
MKO   72  90  70  91 /  20  40  20  30
MIO   70  89  69  91 /  30  50  20  30
F10   72  89  71  91 /  20  30  20  30
HHW   73  89  71  92 /  10  50  20  30

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....18



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.