Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 201630
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1130 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Widespread rain with a few embedded thunderstorms continues
across far southeast OK well ahead of the cold front, which was
located near to just south of I44 at 11 AM. A few areas of light
rain may continue to blossom near and south of the front, but
overall trend of decreasing chances of precip through the
afternoon looks reasonable, with exception of southern-moist
counties. Clearing skies beginning to move into far northeast OK
at this time and enough should occur for temps to eventually rally
into mid 80s across northeast OK. Another update will be issued
to adjust POP and max temp forecast for the first period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 631 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Mainly MVFR to VFR conditions this morning with scattered showers
and thunderstorms affection KMLC and KFSM. Conditions will improve
from north to south beginning this morning with VFR conditions becoming
predominate. VFR conditions expected area-wide tonight.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 320 AM CDT SAT AUG 20 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers/thunderstorms will continue this morning ahead of
cold front which will move into northeast Oklahoma later this
morning. Precipitation chances will persist as front moves into
southeast Oklahoma/northwest Arkansas this afternoon, stalling
south of the Red River tonight.

Significantly drier air-mass expected behind the front as surface
high pressure builds over the region. This will allow for unseasonably
cool temperatures both tonight and Sunday night. Front will begin
to lift back north during the day Monday with scattered showers/
thunderstorms returning as weak upper disturbance lifts northeast
out of western Texas into Tuesday.

The unsettled weather pattern, with scattered showers/thunderstorms,
will persist as another cold front moves through the area on
Thursday before stalling over the Ark-La-Tex region Friday.

TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.

$$


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   84  59  86  63 /  20  10  10  10
FSM   81  66  87  66 /  50  20  10  10
MLC   83  63  86  66 /  50  10  10  10
BVO   84  53  85  54 /  10  10  10  10
FYV   78  57  82  56 /  40  10  10  10
BYV   80  58  83  58 /  30  10  10  10
MKO   83  59  85  64 /  30  10  10  10
MIO   84  56  84  59 /  10  10   0  10
F10   83  61  85  64 /  30  10   0  10
HHW   80  67  87  68 /  80  40  30  10

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14



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