Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 290152
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
752 PM CST Mon Nov 28 2016

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
This evening a closed low was retrograding westward slightly over
the Northern Plains which allowed for a secondary shortwave wave
over the Rocky Mountain region to get caught up within the upper
flow associated to the main closed low. In response...scattered
high level clouds associated with the shortwave were moving into
Southeast Oklahoma from the West. Elsewhere across Northeast
Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas...light southwesterly winds and
mostly clear conditions were common.

Overnight tonight...high level clouds are expected to continue to
stream across the CWA as the shortwave lee of the Rocky Mountains
approaches the region. This cloud cover could help keep temps
from bottoming out behind the frontal boundary which moved through
earlier today. Thus...low temps in the mid 30s in the normal cool
spots to the mid 40s should be common for most locations. Winds
during the night should remain light out of the south to southwest
ahead of the approaching wave tonight. During the day
Tuesday...this wave is forecast to move through the CWA with a
wind shift out of the northwest and cooler temps behind the
boundary.

Evening update for this evening was to adjust cloud cover and add
some minor tweaks to hourly temps and dewpoints based on current
trends and observations. The rest of the forecast seems to be
handling well at this time.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   42  63  35  53 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   42  67  37  54 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   42  66  35  54 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   34  61  32  52 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   35  63  31  49 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   42  64  37  50 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   40  65  34  52 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   38  62  33  50 /   0   0   0   0
F10   42  64  34  53 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   44  68  36  56 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
AVIATION.....12



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