Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 270444
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1144 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
ALL STORMS HAVE MOVED SOUTH OF THE TAF SITES THIS EVENING.
SOME AREAS OF MVFR/OCCASIONAL IFR CIGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE
FOR THE NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TAF SITES...OTHERWISE EXPECT
VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 909 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MAKE SLOW PROGRESS TO THE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS EVENING.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO PUSH
SOUTHWARD THROUGH SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. LATEST TRENDS WITH THIS
ACTIVITY HAVE BEEN TO WEAKEN THE OVERALL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF
THE STORMS DUE TO THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND A STRENGTHENING
CAP. THUS...WILL LET THE SVR WATCH EXPIRE. OVER FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA...ENOUGH INSTABILITY EXISTS THAT AN ISOLATED STRONG
STORM COULD BE POSSIBLE BUT NOT ANTICIPATING ANY ORGANIZED SEVERE
WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT. WILL CARRY POPS MAINLY SOUTH OF I-40
OVERNIGHT WITH SCATTERED POTENTIAL FOR THUNDER...AND MAINLY OVER
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. PRECIP
CONTINUES TO LOOK LIKE IT SHOULD BE OUT OF THE CWA BEFORE 12Z
SATURDAY.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...NORTHERLY WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES WILL
ALLOW FOR A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS TO FILTER INTO THE CWA
OVERNIGHT AND SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION FOR SATURDAY/SUNDAY. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL AID IN TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT TO FALL INTO
THE 60S FOR MOST LOCATIONS...WITH THE WARMEST TEMPS OF LOW 70S
NEAR THE FRONT OVER FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. CURRENT FORECAST SEEMS
TO HAVE A HANDLE ON THIS AND WILL ONLY ADD MINOR TWEAKS TO
TEMP/DEWPOINT/SKY/WIND GRIDS BASED ON LATEST TRENDS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   67  86  66  89 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   69  86  66  89 /  20   0   0   0
MLC   69  84  64  87 /  60   0   0   0
BVO   65  85  62  89 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   64  81  59  84 /  10   0   0   0
BYV   64  81  60  83 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   67  84  64  87 /  20   0   0   0
MIO   65  84  63  87 /  10   0   0  10
F10   68  84  65  88 /  20   0   0   0
HHW   71  86  66  88 /  70   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...18



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