Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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831
FXUS64 KTSA 270457
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
1157 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
A main line of convection will continue to push across far
Eastern Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas tonight...with showers and
embedded thunderstorms behind the main line. Within the main line
of convection...strong winds and possible MVFR conditions will be
possible for the Northwest Arkansas TAF sites. VFR conditions
should be common within the showers and embedded thunderstorms
behind the convection. Preicp is expected to taper off from west
to east tonight/early Wednesday morning...with scattered high
clouds forecast for Wednesday afternoon and evening across the CWA.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 934 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016/

DISCUSSION...
QLCS is entering the northwest part of our forecast area at this
time and will move east across all of eastern Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas overnight. Damaging winds will be the main
threat, along with brief, isolated spinup tornadoes along the
leading edge. Some hail may also occur, but most of it will be
small. Have adjusted first period elements to fit current
trends, with the rest of the forecast left as is.

Update on the way.

TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....05


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   61  78  52  80 / 100  10   0  10
FSM   63  83  55  85 / 100  30  20  10
MLC   62  80  53  84 / 100  10   0   0
BVO   60  77  49  77 / 100  10  10  10
FYV   60  76  49  79 / 100  40  20  10
BYV   62  78  52  80 / 100  40  20  10
MKO   61  79  52  81 / 100  20  10  10
MIO   61  78  51  77 / 100  20  10  10
F10   61  78  53  81 / 100  10   0  10
HHW   63  81  56  85 / 100  20  10   0

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...20



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