Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 300434
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1134 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Scattered convection will continue through the early morning hours
from SE OK into NW AR with brief aviation impacts possible. Patchy
fog may also develop from NE OK into far NW AR and possibly mixing
into MVFR ceilings after sunrise. Thereafter VFR conditions will
prevail with isolated afternoon convection possible primarily over
western AR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 940 PM CDT SAT AUG 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Weak surface boundary noted across east central Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas this evening. Additional showers and
thunderstorms have developed in the vicinity of the boundary this
evening...and have adjusted pops slightly. Will keep low chance
across northwest Arkansas as local model guidance and short term
trends suggest slightly higher coverage across those locations.
Temperatures tracking towards overnight lows...so little
adjustment was required to that element.

Updated ZFP/PFM/ AFM already sent.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   66  88  70  94 /  10  10  10  10
FSM   70  91  71  93 /  20  20  20  10
MLC   69  91  71  94 /  20  10  10  10
BVO   62  88  64  93 /  10  10  10   0
FYV   66  86  66  89 /  30  20  10  10
BYV   67  87  68  88 /  30  20  20  10
MKO   67  87  68  91 /  20  10  10  10
MIO   66  86  67  90 /  10  10  10  10
F10   67  88  70  93 /  10  10  10  10
HHW   71  94  70  94 /  20  10  20  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...07



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