Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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464
FXUS64 KTSA 232339
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
639 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 244 PM CDT TUE AUG 23 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers along with a few thunderstorms continue to track
across northeast OK this afternoon. Plenty of moisture to work
with (PWs around 2")...but rather swift motion of convection has
kept rainfall amounts down. Could see a few more showers/storms
northwest of I-44 tonight as another wave lifts through the
southeasterly flow.

Southeastern states upper ridge expands some beginning
tomorrow...with at least a couple of seasonably hot and humid days
expected for Wed/Thu. Mean flow should keep the synoptic boundary
(and associated convection) mostly north of the area during this
period with the exception of near the KS/OK border...although
there are some indications that the activity could eventually sag
farther south into the forecast area later Thursday night/Friday.
This activity may also be further enhanced by a series of weak
impulses rotating north out of the Gulf of Mexico along the
western periphery of the upper ridge. Have kept PoPs for Friday
into Saturday generally in the chance category for now.

Low PoPs should persist through the remainder of the weekend and
into early next week. Stayed close to guidance numbers for
temperatures...with increased clouds/precip holding afternoon
highs down a bit.

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.

&&

$$

AVIATION...05



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