Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 271426
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
926 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
926 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AROUND MIDDAY.

DISCUSSION...

THERE IS A LIMITED RISK OF A SEVERE STORM OVER IN NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS FROM THE MIDDAY ON INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. A FEW
STORMS COULD DEVELOP AHEAD OF A PACIFIC FRONT AS IT SWEEPS EAST
ACROSS THE REGION. THERE IS ENOUGH AVAILABLE INSTABILITY FOR A
STORM TO PRODUCE SEVERE HAIL OR WIND. THE THREAT SHOULD END BY
MID AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT CLEARS THE REGION.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN
         POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

AFTER A SHORT BREAK...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...CONTINUING INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE
NEXT STORM SYSTEM IMPACTS THE AREA. AT THIS TIME...THE BEST
CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THE SEVERE POTENTIAL AND TYPE FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON WHERE THE SURFACE
BOUNDARIES SET UP. STAY TUNED TO THE LATEST FORECASTS.

ANOTHER WEAKER SYSTEM WILL BRING THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THE UPPER AIR PATTERN FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK DOES
NOT LOOK CONDUCIVE FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AT THIS POINT.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$

LACY



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