Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 150952
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
452 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
452 AM CDT MON SEP 15 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
ONGOING LIGHT SHOWERS THIS MORNING ARE NOT EXPECTED TO POSE A
LIGHTNING THREAT...BUT THE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES INTO PORTIONS OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. SEVERE WEATHER IS
CURRENTLY NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT WILL LINGER IN THE REGION AND NORTHWEST
FLOW WILL REMAIN ALOFT...BOTH OF WHICH WILL LEAD TO LOW
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THROUGH THURSDAY. AFTER A DRY DAY ON
FRIDAY...A STRONGER COLD FRONT AND TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE
PACIFIC WILL LEAD TO THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AND THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL IN THE PERIOD BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL
COULD BECOME AN ISSUE DUE TO THE TROPICAL MOISTURE.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$





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