Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 241847
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
147 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251130-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
147 PM CDT Mon Apr 24 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Strong and gusty south winds will continue through this afternoon ahead
of an upper level storm system, which will move into the Four Corners
region on Tuesday. Winds at 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 35 mph
will be likely across northeast Oklahoma, especially northwest of
I-44.


SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Spotter Activation Not Expected.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
FRIDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SATURDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy Rain Potential.
SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
An active weather pattern will develop this week with
multiple rounds of severe weather, including the potential
for heavy rain and flash flooding.

A strong cap will remain in place for much of the day Tuesday,
suppressing thunderstorm development until early evening as the
cap finally begins to weaken. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms
will develop as a cold front moves into northeast Oklahoma. Any
storms that develop will have the potential to be supercells with
large hail and damaging winds the main threats. Tornado potential
is expected to be limited. The severe threat will continue into
the day Wednesday across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
before the convective line sweeps east of the area.

A stronger storm system is expected to move into the Four Corners
region by late week, with an increased threat for severe weather.
The most likely time frame for severe storms in our area appears
to be Saturday, however much uncertainty remains regarding the
track and timing of the upper system. In addition, locally heavy
rainfall is expected which could lead to flash flooding and
additional rises on area rivers.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
Continue to monitor future forecasts and outlooks, especially
concerning severe weather and flooding potential late in the week
into the weekend. Overall timing and specific severe weather
threats will continue to be refined.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$


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