Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 301758
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1258 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1258 PM CDT TUE SEP 30 2014


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...GENERALLY NORTHWEST OF I 44.
ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THERE IS A VERY LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS... MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT TO THE NORTHWEST OF TULSA. ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS LATE TONIGHT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY
MAKE IT FAR ENOUGH EAST TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF TULSA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.


EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING NEAR
THE KANSAS BORDER WEDNESDAY MORNING... WITH A LOW SEVERE THREAT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. THIS SHOULD DISSIPATE EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN FORECAST FOR LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND UPPER DISTURBANCE.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG THE FRONT AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE REGION LATER IN THE DAY THURSDAY AND INTO THURSDAY
EVENING. THE ACTIVITY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY WILL HAVE
THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL OF BEING SEVERE... AS THE COMBINATION OF
SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE MOST FAVORABLE AT THAT TIME. DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$






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