Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FLUS44 KTSA 270915
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
415 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-271030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
415 AM CDT WED MAY 27 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
A CONDITIONALLY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE AND A WEAK UPPER
IMPULSE MAY PROMOTE SOME THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WEAK LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS
WILL PREVENT WIDESPREAD ORGANIZED CONVECTION. HOWEVER
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE.
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP MAY CAUSE FLOOD PROBLEMS
DUE TO THE ABNORMALLY WET MONTH OF MAY.

MANY RIVERS IN THE REGION REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...
HOWEVER MOST HAVE CRESTED AND ARE FALLING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL RAMP UP FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES...THEN MOVES THROUGH OUR
REGION. AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE A
POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS. FLOODING WILL ALSO BE
A CONCERN.


WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





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