Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 251901
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
101 PM CST THU DEC 25 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-260715-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
101 PM CST THU DEC 25 2014


...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

DISCUSSION...
GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE RANGE OF 25 TO NEAR 45 MPH HAVE BEEN
OBSERVED ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS
AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES AND
AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF LESS THAN 40 PERCENT
HAVE CREATED VERY HIGH FIRE DANGERS FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE GREATEST FIRE DANGER AND FIRE SPREAD
POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO BE ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WHERE THE
STRONGEST WINDS AND LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE CO-
LOCATED. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT AS WELL AS A WIND ADVISORY ARE IN
EFFECT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS THIS
EVENING ARE EXPECTED TO LESSEN AS WINDS DECREASE INTO THE 10 TO 20
MPH RANGE.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AND FIRE WEATHER DANGERS WILL CONTINUE
INTO FRIDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST
TO MOVE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FRIDAY
NIGHT AND SATURDAY...WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASING DURING
THIS TIME PERIOD. FORECAST TEMPERATURE PROFILES SUGGESTS
THAT A MIX OF LIGHT SLEET AND SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA MAINLY NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44. ANY
ACCUMULATIONS AND IMPACTS APPEAR MINIMAL AT THIS TIME...BUT THOSE
WITH HOLIDAY TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS FOR UPDATES. PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOOK TO PUSH OUT OF
THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THE EXITING SYSTEM.

IN THE WAKE OF THE EXITING SYSTEM...A SURGE OF MUCH COLDER AIR IS
FORECAST TO FILTER INTO THE REGION FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK. BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS DEVELOPING OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW
FOR AN INCREASE IN FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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