Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FLUS44 KTSA 161017
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
517 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
517 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY JUST SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR
EARLY THIS MORNING MAY SAG A BIT FURTHER SOUTH TODAY BEFORE IT
BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT TONIGHT. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY IN THE VICINITY OF THIS
BOUNDARY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...BUT THE BETTER STORM CHANCES LATE TONIGHT WILL BE TO
OUR NORTH.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE TO RESULT IN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
THE BEST STORM CHANCES WILL BE IN FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN ARKANSAS.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. TROPICAL
MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE ODILE WILL INTERACT WITH
THIS FRONT TO BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO ALL OF
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$




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