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000
FLUS44 KTSA 142147
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
447 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-151000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
447 PM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTER 3 AM.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS APPROACHING
30 MPH AT SOME LOCATIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING.

THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW APPROACHES
FROM THE SOUTHWEST.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY BE THE
PRIMARY THREAT...ALTHOUGH A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH SMALL
HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. OTHERWISE...GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL REMAIN IN
THE 20 TO 25 MPH RANGE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS A SERIES
OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES ALOFT MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS.
A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY. MODERATE INSTABILITY...COUPLED WITH STRENGTHENING WIND
FIELDS ALOFT SUGGEST A THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN ALSO IS A CONCERN AS THE FRONT SLOWLY MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$