Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 181820
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
120 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-191030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
120 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS SAGGING SLOWLY SOUTH ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY
DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. WEAK WIND FIELDS WILL LIMIT
THUNDERSTORMS TO A THREAT OF LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND MAYBE A WIND
GUST OR TWO TO 40 MILES AN HOUR.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS
AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES EAST FROM THE ROCKIES INTO THE
PLAINS. THERE MAY BE A BRIEF LULL IN STORM COVERAGE THURSDAY
BEFORE CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN BY THE WEEKEND AS A STRONGER UPPER
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA. SEVERE WEATHER CHANCES
WILL BE HIGHEST OVER THE WEEKEND...AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT
IN FLOODING CONCERNS GIVEN THE LARGE AMOUNTS OF RAIN THAT HAS
FALLEN RECENTLY IN SOME LOCATIONS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$





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