Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 132205
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
504 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
504 PM CDT SUN APR 13 2014

...SEVERE WEATHER EXPECTED FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS INTO THE EVENING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...LATE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING EASTERN OKLAHOMA...AFTER 7 PM NORTHWEST
        ARKANSAS.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING EASTERN OKLAHOMA...AFTER 7 PM NORTHWEST
        ARKANSAS.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING EASTERN OKLAHOMA...AFTER 7 PM NORTHWEST
        ARKANSAS.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...MAINLY WEST OF HIGHWAY 69 IN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE COLD FRONT
AND DRYLINE LATE THIS AFTERNOON FROM NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND IN COVERAGE ALONG
THE FRONT AS IT TRACKS EAST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO THE EVENING HOURS.

WINDS AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
ADVANCING COLD FRONT. HOWEVER...THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
FROM THE LINE OF STORMS WILL COME FROM LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
MUCH COOLER AIR ALONG WITH GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT. A FREEZE IS LIKELY BY TUESDAY
MORNING FOR THE ENTIRE AREA...WITH LOWS DIPPING INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 20S.

THERE WILL BE ANOTHER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AS ANOTHER
FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$








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