Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 191101
HWOTSA

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
501 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-201115-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
501 AM CST Sun Feb 19 2017

This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Along and west of a Bristow to McAlester to Hugo line.
ONSET...After midnight.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Southeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...After midnight.

POOR VISIBILITY.
RISK...Limited...Isolated Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas.
ONSET...Ongoing...ending by mid morning.

DISCUSSION...

There is a marginal risk of severe storms across portions of east
central and southeast Oklahoma tonight, mainly after midnight.
Damaging winds and marginally severe hail will be the primary
threats.

Storms are expected to form late this afternoon and into the
evening across northern Texas and into southwest and south central
Oklahoma. This band of storms will eventually move into eastern
Oklahoma after midnight and into western Arkansas by Monday
morning. Instability will be marginally supportive of severe
storms across portions of east central and southeast Oklahoma.

Some locally heavy rain, on the order of 1 to 1.25 inches, is
forecast across southeast Oklahoma tonight into Monday. The
heaviest rains, however, are expected to fall south of the Red
River.

Patchy dense fog across northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas
will reduce visibilities down to as low as a quarter mile through
mid-morning. Drivers should be alert to rapidly changing
visibilities.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY...No Hazards.
THURSDAY...High Wind and Fire Weather Potential.
FRIDAY and SATURDAY...No Hazards.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...

Isolated thunderstorms will affect portions of far eastern
Oklahoma into western Arkansas Monday morning. Decreasing
instability with time will negate the severe weather threat.

A strong upper storm system is forecast to move into the central
Plains Thursday. Strong south winds from the system will raise
fire weather concerns.

weather.gov/tulsa Contains additional information.

$$

Lacy


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