Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 270957
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
457 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-281000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
457 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR AND A MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT HAS MOVED OVER THE
AREA. HOWEVER...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS
FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL
      ...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AFTER A SHORT BREAK...RAIN AND THUNDER CHANCES RETURN TO THE
REGION LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...CONTINUING INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM IMPACTS THE AREA. AT THIS
TIME...THE BEST CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. HOWEVER...SEVERE
POTENTIAL FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE
DEGREE OF INSTABILITY...ALONG WITH THE TIMING AND INITIAL AREAL
COVERAGE OF STORMS THAT OCCUR LATE THURSDAY NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY.

AN ACTIVE UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WILL PERSIST...AND WILL KEEP
STORM CHANCES GOING INTO THE FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$



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