000
FLUS44 KTSA 140920
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
420 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-141000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
420 AM CDT TUE MAY 14 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
        ONSET...LATE TONIGHT.
RISK...LIMITED.

DISCUSSION...
A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS COULD MOVE INTO FAR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
LATE TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM
THE SOUTHWEST. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE AREA. ALTHOUGH
A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY THREAT. OTHERWISE...GUSTY
SOUTH WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE 20 TO 25 MPH RANGE DURING THE DAY
WEDNESDAY.

LOW THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE
WEEKEND AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES ALOFT MOVE ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE OUT OF
THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. MODERATE
INSTABILITY...COUPLED WITH STRENGTHENING WIND FIELDS ALOFT SUGGEST
AND INCREASING THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS. TIMING...INCLUDING ANY
SPECIFIC SEVERE WEATHER THREATS...WILL CONTINUE TO BE REFINED IN
THE UPCOMING DAYS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$