000
FLUS44 KTSA 151754
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1254 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-161000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1254 PM CDT SAT JUN 15 2013

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

        AREA OF GREATEST RISK...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH
THE REGION. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING DUE TO THE VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE
AND THE CONTINUED INFLUENCE OF THE DISTURBANCE. DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WITH STORMS...ALTHOUGH
THERE IS SOME THREAT OF LARGE HAIL AS WELL. HEAVY RAIN AND
POTENTIAL FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WHEN
TRAINING OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SAME AREAS OCCURS. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST WITH TIME...AS
THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TOWARD SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY WITH
THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE STILL IN THE VICINITY. LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING...A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP IN KANSAS AND MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
ANTICIPATED...BUT HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL LIKELY
OCCUR.

MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
AS THE EARLY WEEK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES BACK TO THE NORTH ACROSS
THE AREA.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$