Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FLUS44 KTSA 221800
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-231015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
100 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015


...FLASH FLOOD THREAT INCREASING INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE POTENTIAL
   FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL...


THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA... SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
ONSET...AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...ONGOING.


DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF RAIN WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE MAINLY ACROSS
PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TO THE
EAST OF HIGHWAY 69.LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING IN A FEW AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
LIKELY SATURDAY...SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAIN...FLASH FLOODING
...AND MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING WILL AGAIN IMPACT MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT...INCLUDING NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
ALTHOUGH A LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL EXIST...THIS
THREAT WILL LIKELY BE SECONDARY TO THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT.


EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO COINCIDE WITH THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
THE FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL POSE A HEIGHTENED THREAT TO
THOSE THAT PLAN OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES. UPDATED FORECASTS SHOULD BE
CLOSELY FOLLOWED AND PERSONS SHOULD BE READY TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD
FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE
FOR THOSE PLANNING TO SPEND TIME NEAR AREA RIVERS AND LAKES AND
OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS WHERE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING
COULD DEVELOP.

THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK
AS A MOIST AIR-MASS REMAINS IN PLACE. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE AS SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES TRAVERSE THE AREA.
ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLASH
FLOODING.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$






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