Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 232301
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
501 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241100-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
501 PM CST TUE DEC 23 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WINTER WEATHER.
SNOW ACCUMULATION.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
LIGHT RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW WILL BECOME POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO
THE REGION. TEMPERATURE PROFILES INDICATE PRECIPITATION STARTING
OUT AS LIGHT RAIN AND POSSIBLY MIXING WITH LIGHT SNOW OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. GREATER CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION BECOMING MAINLY LIGHT
SNOW LOOK TO BE ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA INTO NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...WHERE TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE CLOSER TO FREEZING. AT
THIS TIME...MINOR ACCUMULATIONS AND IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED...WITH
PERHAPS UP TOWARD AN INCH OF SNOW POSSIBLE WITHIN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN LOCATIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL...
VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...WINTER WEATHER POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
LIGHT SNOW WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF FAR NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH A
LIGHT MIX OF RAIN AND OR SNOW OVER THE REST OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE EXITING THE
REGION WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

IN THE WAKE OF THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM...A RETURN OF GUSTY SOUTHERLY
WINDS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST FOR CHRISTMAS DAY INTO FRIDAY.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL ALLOW FOR VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER DANGERS OVER
PARTS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WITH ENHANCED FIRE
DANGER NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44.

ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOOKS TO MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...WHICH WILL INCREASE
PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS THE REGION. THE LATEST FORECAST
TEMPERATURE PROFILES WOULD SUGGEST A LIGHT WINTRY MIX ACROSS PARTS
OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY...AND POSSIBLY EXPANDING INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS BY SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. ACCUMULATIONS AND
IMPACTS APPEAR MINIMAL AT THIS TIME...BUT THOSE WITH TRAVEL PLANS
SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR UPDATES.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
$$





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