Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FLUS44 KTSA 211104
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
504 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-221115-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
504 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2017

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...PRIMARILY EXTREME SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...MID AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...EVENING THROUGH OVERNIGHT HOURS.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD INTO FAR SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA BY EARLY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
ARE POSSIBLE FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING WITH
LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY CONCERN. THE GREATER RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER WILL FOCUS FURTHER EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
POSSIBLE FROM NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING WITH
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING AS THE STORM SYSTEM MOVES
EAST OF THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN WARM WELL ABOVE NORMAL ON TUESDAY
AND POSSIBLY APPROACH RECORD LEVELS IN A FEW LOCATIONS.
ADDITIONALLY MUCH DRIER AIR WILL SPREAD INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY.  THESE CONDITIONS WILL CREATE
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TUESDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY
ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM MIAMI TO MCALESTER.
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRY WEATHER PREVAILS FOR LATE WEEK.

WEATHER.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$


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