Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 232141
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
441 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2016

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-241030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
441 PM CDT MON MAY 23 2016

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS IN
RESPONSE TO A REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY AND A PERSISTENT MID LEVEL
DISTURBANCE. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT ONE OR TWO OF THESE STORMS COULD
BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DIMINISH DURING THE
EVENING HOURS.

IN ADDITION...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND INTO THIS EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE AND INTO
NORTHWEST TEXAS...AND MUCH LIKE LAST NIGHT...SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY
EASTWARD TOWARD EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE MOST
LIKELY TIME FRAME FOR THESE STORMS TO AFFECT THE REGION WILL BE
AFTER MIDNIGHT...AND A FEW OF THESE COULD BE STRONG TO MARGINALLY
SEVERE AS WELL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN HIGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...SUPPORTING
PERIODIC CHANCES FOR AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER. HOWEVER...THE
FOCUS FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN WEST AND
NORTH OF THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY...RAISING THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$


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